2.0-2.4% leads at 68% across 6 outcomes, with $44K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026?
Current odds: 2.0-2.4% 68%, ≤1.9% 30%, 3.0-3.4% 1%, 2.5-2.9% 0%, 3.5-3.9% 0%, 4.0%+ 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026?
2.0-2.4% is the market favorite at 68%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $44K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026?
$44K has been traded on this market in total, including $20 in the last 24 hours, with $4K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on February 12, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026 resolve?
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Ind
Where can I bet on Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.