0.6 – 1.0% leads at 43% across 9 outcomes, with $62K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for China Annual Inflation 2026?
Current odds: 0.6 – 1.0% 43%, 1.1 – 1.5% 42%, 1.6 – 2.0% 8%, 2.0-2.4% 6%, 0.1 – 0.5% 4%, <-1.0% 3%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in China Annual Inflation 2026?
0.6 – 1.0% is the market favorite at 43%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $62K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on China Annual Inflation 2026?
$62K has been traded on this market in total, including $10 in the last 24 hours, with $19K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does China Annual Inflation 2026 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 10, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does China Annual Inflation 2026 resolve?
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is rel
Where can I bet on China Annual Inflation 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.