How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.9% leads at 75% across 17 outcomes, with $439K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027??
Current odds: Below 4.9% 75%, Below 4.8% 53%, Below 4.7% 35%, Below 4.6% 17%, Below 4.5% 10%, Below 4.4% 8%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.9% is the market favorite at 75%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $439K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027??
$439K has been traded on this market in total, including $1K in the last 24 hours, with $25K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the c
Where can I bet on How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.