No Prison Time leads at 98% across 6 outcomes, with $1.1M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Harvey Weinstein prison time??
Current odds: No Prison Time 98%, <5 years 0%, 5-10 years 0%, 10-20 years 0%, 20-30 years 0%, 30+ years 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Harvey Weinstein prison time?
No Prison Time is the market favorite at 98%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1.1M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Harvey Weinstein prison time??
$1.1M has been traded on this market in total, including $1K in the last 24 hours, with $15K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Harvey Weinstein prison time? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2025. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Harvey Weinstein prison time? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concu
Where can I bet on Harvey Weinstein prison time?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.