As of today the market prices Reckless Ben arrested by July 31 at 1% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reckless Ben (a.k.a. Benjamin Schneider) is arrested between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Reckless Ben arrested by July 31??
The market currently prices this at 1% (1¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Reckless Ben arrested by July 31?
Reckless Ben arrested by July 31? is the market favorite at 1%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $684 through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Reckless Ben arrested by July 31??
$684 has been traded on this market in total, including $9 in the last 24 hours, with $256 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Reckless Ben arrested by July 31? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Reckless Ben arrested by July 31? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reckless Ben (a.k.a. Benjamin Schneider) is arrested between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or
Where can I bet on Reckless Ben arrested by July 31?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.