Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
As of today the market prices Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31 at 7% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? odds
Outcome
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Volume
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31??
The market currently prices this at 7% (7¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? is the market favorite at 7%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $12K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31??
$12K has been traded on this market in total, including $3K in the last 24 hours, with $12K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Where can I bet on Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.