0.8-1.1% leads at 71% across 7 outcomes, with $77K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Current odds: 0.8-1.1% 71%, 1.2-1.5% 20%, 0.4-0.7% 5%, 0.0-0.3% 3%, <0.0% 1%, 1.6-1.9% 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026?
0.8-1.1% is the market favorite at 71%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $77K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026?
$77K has been traded on this market in total, including $3K in the last 24 hours, with $7K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 resolve?
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
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Where can I bet on Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.