China x India military clash by...?

As of today the market prices China x India military clash by... at 12% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

China x India military clash by...? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
December 31, 202612%12¢$203K

Market details

Resolution rules

This is a market on the likelihood of a military clash between China and India occurring by December 31.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for China x India military clash by...??
The market currently prices this at 12% (12¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will China x India military clash by...?
December 31, 2026 is the market favorite at 12%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $313K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on China x India military clash by...??
$313K has been traded on this market in total, including $271 in the last 24 hours, with $10K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does China x India military clash by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2025. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does China x India military clash by...? resolve?
This is a market on the likelihood of a military clash between China and India occurring by December 31.
Where can I bet on China x India military clash by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

Related politics markets

All Politics markets on Polymarket →

Track every Polymarket market on the markets page, or see who is trading them on the leaderboard.