Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
DeepSeek leads at 33% across 3 outcomes, with $9K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.
Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.
An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027??
Current odds: DeepSeek 33%, Xiaomi 21%, ByteDance 19%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
DeepSeek is the market favorite at 33%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $9K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027??
$9K has been traded on this market in total, including $115 in the last 24 hours, with $8K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying add
Where can I bet on Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.