What will the biggest earthquake be on November 6, 2026?
6.1 or more leads at 95% across 6 outcomes, with $3K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
What will the biggest earthquake be on November 6, 2026? odds
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on November 6, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
Brackets: Under 5.3 / 5.3 to 5.4 / 5.5 to 5.6 / 5.7 to 5.8 / 5.9 to 6.0 / 6.1 or more. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on November 6, 2026. An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.
If USGS revises a magnitude after initial publication, the revision governs provided it is published before 2:00 PM ET on November 7, 2026. A value first published after that time is not considered.
If the reported magnitude carries more than one decimal place, it is rounded to the nearest tenth using standard rounding conventions (0.05 rounds up). Brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints.
If no earthquake data for November 6, 2026 has been published by 2:00 PM ET on November 7, 2026, this market will resolve to the "Under 5.3" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the USGS Earthquake Catalog, maintained by the United States Geological Survey, at https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for What will the biggest earthquake be on November 6, 2026??
Current odds: 6.1 or more 95%, 5.3 to 5.4 5%, 5.5 to 5.6 5%, 5.7 to 5.8 5%, 5.9 to 6.0 5%, Under 5.3 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in What will the biggest earthquake be on November 6, 2026?
6.1 or more is the market favorite at 95%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $3K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on What will the biggest earthquake be on November 6, 2026??
$3K has been traded on this market in total, including $518 in the last 24 hours, with $91 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does What will the biggest earthquake be on November 6, 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does What will the biggest earthquake be on November 6, 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on November 6, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
Brackets: Under 5.3 / 5.3 to 5.4 / 5.5 to 5.6 / 5.7 to 5.8 / 5.9 to 6.0 / 6.1 or more. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on November 6, 2026. An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.
If USGS revises a magnitude after initial publication, the revision governs provided it is published before 2:00 PM ET on November 7, 2026.
Where can I bet on What will the biggest earthquake be on November 6, 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.