Bank of Canada Decision in January?

No Change leads at 52% across 5 outcomes, with $13K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Bank of Canada Decision in January? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
No Change52%52¢$9K
25 bps increase39%39¢$2K
50+ bps decrease5%5¢$480
25 bps decrease5%5¢$571
50+ bps increase5%5¢$449

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the January 2027 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its January 2027 interest rate announcement, scheduled for January 27, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its January 2027 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Bank of Canada Decision in January??
Current odds: No Change 52%, 25 bps increase 39%, 50+ bps decrease 5%, 25 bps decrease 5%, 50+ bps increase 5%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Bank of Canada Decision in January?
No Change is the market favorite at 52%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $13K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Bank of Canada Decision in January??
$13K has been traded on this market in total, including $60 in the last 24 hours, with $7K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Bank of Canada Decision in January? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 27, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Bank of Canada Decision in January? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the January 2027 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its January 2027 interest rate announcement, scheduled for January 27, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its January 2027 interes
Where can I bet on Bank of Canada Decision in January?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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