Bank of Brazil decision in August?

25 bps decrease leads at 87% across 5 outcomes, with $167K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Bank of Brazil decision in August? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
25 bps decrease87%87¢$62K
No Change13%13¢$44K
50+ bps increase1%1¢$18K
25 bps increase0%0¢$17K
50+ bps decrease0%0¢$26K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for August 3-4, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the the Bank of Brazil's August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Bank of Brazil decision in August??
Current odds: 25 bps decrease 87%, No Change 13%, 50+ bps increase 1%, 25 bps increase 0%, 50+ bps decrease 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Bank of Brazil decision in August?
25 bps decrease is the market favorite at 87%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $167K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Bank of Brazil decision in August??
$167K has been traded on this market in total, including $4K in the last 24 hours, with $63K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Bank of Brazil decision in August? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 4, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Bank of Brazil decision in August? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for August 3-4, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the the Bank of Brazil's August 2026 Mone
Where can I bet on Bank of Brazil decision in August?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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