As of today the market prices Will Trump launch a coin by … at 5% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Trump launch a coin by …??
The market currently prices this at 5% (5¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Trump launch a coin by …?
December 31, 2026 is the market favorite at 5%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $100K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Trump launch a coin by …??
$100K has been traded on this market in total, with $749 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Trump launch a coin by …? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Trump launch a coin by …? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Where can I bet on Will Trump launch a coin by …?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.