Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by...?
September 21 leads at 99% across 5 outcomes, with $6K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by...? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by...??
Current odds: September 21 99%, September 19 98%, September 17 96%, September 15 87%, September 13 16%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by...?
September 21 is the market favorite at 99%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $6K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by...??
$6K has been traded on this market in total, including $2K in the last 24 hours, with $5K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ ha
Where can I bet on Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.