Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen leads at 35% across 24 outcomes, with $1.5M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Next James Bond actor? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
No Bond chosen35%35¢$582K
Jack Lowden26%26¢$267K
Callum Turner18%18¢$110K
Jack Barton5%5¢$66K
Jacob Elordi4%4¢$28K
Josh O'Connor4%4¢$25K
Jack O'Connell2%2¢$39K
Paul Mescal1%1¢$22K
Harris Dickinson1%1¢$31K
Tom Hardy1%1¢$23K
Tom Francis1%1¢$26K
Aaron Taylor-Johnson0%0¢$34K
James Norton0%0¢$25K
Pierce Brosnan0%0¢$16K
Tom Holland0%0¢$18K

9 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Next James Bond actor??
Current odds: No Bond chosen 35%, Jack Lowden 26%, Callum Turner 18%, Jack Barton 5%, Jacob Elordi 4%, Josh O'Connor 4%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Next James Bond actor?
No Bond chosen is the market favorite at 35%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1.5M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Next James Bond actor??
$1.5M has been traded on this market in total, including $17K in the last 24 hours, with $202K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Next James Bond actor? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Next James Bond actor? resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Where can I bet on Next James Bond actor?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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