Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
December 31, 2028 leads at 34% across 3 outcomes, with $9K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.
A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___??
Current odds: December 31, 2028 34%, December 31, 2027 19%, December 31, 2026 7%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
December 31, 2028 is the market favorite at 34%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $9K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___??
$9K has been traded on this market in total, including $2K in the last 24 hours, with $9K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accep
Where can I bet on Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.