December 31, 2027 leads at 51% across 5 outcomes, with $13K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arch Network officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by Arch Network will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arch Network (https://x.com/ArchNtwrk), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Arch Network launch a token by …??
Current odds: December 31, 2027 51%, September 30, 2027 48%, June 30, 2027 46%, March 31, 2027 32%, December 31, 2026 27%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Will Arch Network launch a token by …?
December 31, 2027 is the market favorite at 51%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $13K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Arch Network launch a token by …??
$13K has been traded on this market in total, with $1K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Arch Network launch a token by …? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Arch Network launch a token by …? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arch Network officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by Arch Network will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arch Network (https://x.com/ArchNtwrk), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Where can I bet on Will Arch Network launch a token by …?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.