December 31, 2027 leads at 71% across 3 outcomes, with $648K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Arc launch a token by … ??
Current odds: December 31, 2027 71%, June 30, 2027 43%, December 31, 2026 2%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Will Arc launch a token by … ?
December 31, 2027 is the market favorite at 71%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $648K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Arc launch a token by … ??
$648K has been traded on this market in total, including $778 in the last 24 hours, with $26K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Arc launch a token by … ? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Arc launch a token by … ? resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Where can I bet on Will Arc launch a token by … ?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.