As of today the market prices Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026 at 49% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026? odds
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026??
The market currently prices this at 49% (49¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? is the market favorite at 49%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $9K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026??
$9K has been traded on this market in total, including $112 in the last 24 hours, with $3K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026? resolve?
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is
Where can I bet on Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.