Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?

Islam Makhachev leads at 71% across 12 outcomes, with $619K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Islam Makhachev71%71¢$7K
Ian Machado Garry27%27¢$4K
Carlos Prates3%$3K
Michael Morales1%$5K
Jack Della Maddalena0%$2K
Shavkat Rakhmonov0%$202K
Belal Muhammad0%$2K
Sean Brady0%$2K
Kamaru Usman0%$366K
Leon Edwards0%$2K
Joaquin Buckley0%$22K
Gabriel Bonfim0%$975

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026??
Current odds: Islam Makhachev 71%, Ian Machado Garry 27%, Carlos Prates 3%, Michael Morales 1%, Jack Della Maddalena 0%, Shavkat Rakhmonov 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?
Islam Makhachev is the market favorite at 71%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $619K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026??
$619K has been traded on this market in total, including $441 in the last 24 hours, with $9K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Where can I bet on Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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