Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Tom Aspinall leads at 55% across 14 outcomes, with $331K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Tom Aspinall55%55¢$5K
Ciryl Gane44%44¢$5K
Josh Hokit10%10¢$439
Alexander Volkov3%$27K
Sergei Pavlovich1%$398
Curtis Blaydes1%$67K
Serghei Spivac1%$438
Derrick Lewis1%$9K
Waldo Cortes Acosta0%$48K
Jailton Almeida0%$380
Ante Delija0%$500
Marcin Tybura0%$167K
Rizvan Kuniev0%$299
Tyrell Fortune0%$258

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026??
Current odds: Tom Aspinall 55%, Ciryl Gane 44%, Josh Hokit 10%, Alexander Volkov 3%, Sergei Pavlovich 1%, Curtis Blaydes 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Tom Aspinall is the market favorite at 55%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $331K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026??
$331K has been traded on this market in total, including $86 in the last 24 hours, with $4K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Where can I bet on Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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