Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
James Ho leads at 28% across 11 outcomes, with $7K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice? odds
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice??
Current odds: James Ho 28%, Gregory Katsas 28%, Patrick Bumatay 21%, Aileen Cannon 19%, Ted Cruz 18%, Steven Menashi 16%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
James Ho is the market favorite at 28%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $7K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice??
$7K has been traded on this market in total, with $5K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for th
Where can I bet on Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.