Which players will retire before 1 July 2027?

Olivier Giroud leads at 68% across 15 outcomes, with $3K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Which players will retire before 1 July 2027? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Olivier Giroud68%68¢$274
Cristiano Ronaldo53%53¢$146
Luka Modric51%51¢$96
Thomas Muller50%50¢$61
Angel Di Maria50%50¢$29
Edin Dzeko50%50¢$15
James Rodriguez50%50¢$33
Wojciech Szczesny50%50¢$48
Robert Lewandowski49%49¢$181
Karim Benzema49%49¢$21
Luis Suarez36%36¢$533
Manuel Neuer28%28¢$970
Lionel Messi18%18¢$817
Ivan Perisic18%18¢$54
Marco Reus17%17¢$211

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player announces his retirement from professional football on or before June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that the player is retiring from professional club football, and must come from the player himself, his official representatives, or his club. Retirement from international football alone does not qualify. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or before the start of the next club season following the announcement. A player who is without a club but has not announced his retirement has not retired for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the player or his club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Which players will retire before 1 July 2027??
Current odds: Olivier Giroud 68%, Cristiano Ronaldo 53%, Luka Modric 51%, Thomas Muller 50%, Angel Di Maria 50%, Edin Dzeko 50%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Which players will retire before 1 July 2027?
Olivier Giroud is the market favorite at 68%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $3K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Which players will retire before 1 July 2027??
$3K has been traded on this market in total, with $846 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Which players will retire before 1 July 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Which players will retire before 1 July 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player announces his retirement from professional football on or before June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that the player is retiring from professional club football, and must come from the player himself, his official representatives, or his club. Retirement from international football alone does not qualify. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or before the start of the next club season following the announcement. A player who is without a club but has not announced his retirement has not retired for the purposes of this mark
Where can I bet on Which players will retire before 1 July 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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