Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Avengers: Doomsday leads at 58% across 5 outcomes, with $35K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Avengers: Doomsday58%58¢$4K
Spider-Man: Brand New Day44%44¢$3K
Toy Story 51%$2K
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping0%$2K
Dune: Messiah0%$2K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026??
Current odds: Avengers: Doomsday 58%, Spider-Man: Brand New Day 44%, Toy Story 5 1%, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 0%, Dune: Messiah 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday is the market favorite at 58%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $35K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026??
$35K has been traded on this market in total, including $2K in the last 24 hours, with $20K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardles
Where can I bet on Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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