Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads at 64% across 20 outcomes, with $193K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Spider-Man: Brand New Day64%64¢$92K
Movie B50%50¢
Movie C50%50¢
Movie D50%50¢
Movie E50%50¢
Movie F50%50¢
Movie G50%50¢
Movie H50%50¢
Movie I50%50¢
Movie J50%50¢
Movie K50%50¢
Movie L50%50¢
Movie M50%50¢
Movie N50%50¢
Movie O50%50¢

5 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026??
Current odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day 64%, Movie B 50%, Movie C 50%, Movie D 50%, Movie E 50%, Movie F 50%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day is the market favorite at 64%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $193K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026??
$193K has been traded on this market in total, including $2K in the last 24 hours, with $24K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied o
Where can I bet on Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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