South Sudan leads at 67% across 12 outcomes, with $39K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026??
Current odds: South Sudan 67%, Burundi 51%, Ethiopia 50%, Nigeria 49%, India 45%, Somalia 37%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
South Sudan is the market favorite at 67%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $39K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026??
$39K has been traded on this market in total, including $6 in the last 24 hours, with $3K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Where can I bet on Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.