When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?

October 26–November 1 leads at 25% across 16 outcomes, with $20K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
October 26–November 125%25¢$3K
November 16–November 2216%16¢$2K
November 9–November 1514%14¢$3K
November 30–December 614%14¢$4K
January 25–January 3110%10¢$478
November 23–November 297%7¢$826
No release by January 317%7¢$3K
November 2–November 86%6¢$903
December 21–December 275%5¢$783
December 7–December 134%4¢$348
December 28–January 34%4¢$789
December 14–December 203%3¢$408
January 4–January 103%3¢$410
January 11–January 172%2¢$444
Prior to October 260%0¢$307

1 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released??
Current odds: October 26–November 1 25%, November 16–November 22 16%, November 9–November 15 14%, November 30–December 6 14%, January 25–January 31 10%, November 23–November 29 7%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
October 26–November 1 is the market favorite at 25%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $20K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released??
$20K has been traded on this market in total, including $6K in the last 24 hours, with $12K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Da
Where can I bet on When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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