What will Gold (GC) hit… by end of December?

↑ $4,500 leads at 50% across 11 outcomes, with $2.6M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

What will Gold (GC) hit… by end of December? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
↑ $4,50050%50¢
↓ $3,5009%9¢$99K
↑ $5,0006%6¢$352K
↓ $3,0003%3¢$27K
↑ $7,0002%2¢$229K
↑ $6,0002%2¢$1.5M
↓ $2,5001%1¢$3K
↑ $15,0001%1¢$119K
↑ $12,0001%1¢$72K
↑ $10,0001%1¢$108K
↑ $8,0001%1¢$82K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures. If the official settlement price for any relevant trading day has not been published on the CME Group website within 72 hours of the final trading day (ET) of the specified period, the market will resolve based on the settlement prices published through all CME channels up to that point.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for What will Gold (GC) hit… by end of December??
Current odds: ↑ $4,500 50%, ↓ $3,500 9%, ↑ $5,000 6%, ↓ $3,000 3%, ↑ $7,000 2%, ↑ $6,000 2%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in What will Gold (GC) hit… by end of December?
↑ $4,500 is the market favorite at 50%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $2.6M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on What will Gold (GC) hit… by end of December??
$2.6M has been traded on this market in total, including $10K in the last 24 hours, with $732K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does What will Gold (GC) hit… by end of December? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does What will Gold (GC) hit… by end of December? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be co
Where can I bet on What will Gold (GC) hit… by end of December?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

Related gold markets

All Gold markets on Polymarket →

Track every Polymarket market on the markets page, or see who is trading them on the leaderboard.