This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season??
Current odds: Nana 34%, Dolly 30%, Vicky 28%, Wilfred 28%, Isaias 24%, Paulette 22%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Nana is the market favorite at 34%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season??
$1K has been traded on this market in total, including $296 in the last 24 hours, with $5K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 2, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https:
Where can I bet on What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.