This market will resolve according to how much "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office?
Current odds: <8m 86%, 8-10m 12%, 14-16m 1%, 10-12m 0%, 12-14m 0%, 16m+ 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office?
<8m is the market favorite at 86%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $81K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office?
$81K has been traded on this market in total, including $13K in the last 24 hours, with $7K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 18, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office resolve?
This market will resolve according to how much "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes T
Where can I bet on "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.