U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

3.5–3.9% leads at 28% across 8 outcomes, with $14K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
3.5–3.9%28%28¢$753
2.5–2.9%17%17¢$638
4.0-4.4%10%10¢$3K
4.5%+6%6¢$7K
2.0–2.4%2%2¢$389
1.0–1.4%1%1¢$381
1.5–1.9%1%1¢$541
<1.0%0%0¢$851

Market details

Resolution rules

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for U.K. Annual Inflation 2026?
Current odds: 3.5–3.9% 28%, 2.5–2.9% 17%, 4.0-4.4% 10%, 4.5%+ 6%, 2.0–2.4% 2%, 1.0–1.4% 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in U.K. Annual Inflation 2026?
3.5–3.9% is the market favorite at 28%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $14K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on U.K. Annual Inflation 2026?
$14K has been traded on this market in total, including $6 in the last 24 hours, with $6K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 resolve?
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take pl
Where can I bet on U.K. Annual Inflation 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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