Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?

As of today the market prices Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by... at 13% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
September 30, 202613%13¢$3K
December 31, 202610%10¢$3K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...??
The market currently prices this at 13% (13¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?
September 30, 2026 is the market favorite at 13%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $6K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...??
$6K has been traded on this market in total, including $5K in the last 24 hours, with $1K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Where can I bet on Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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