Swiss National Bank Decision in March?

No Change leads at 49% across 5 outcomes, with $19K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Swiss National Bank Decision in March? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
No Change49%49¢$10K
25 bps increase37%37¢$7K
50+ bps decrease5%5¢$759
25 bps decrease2%2¢$565
50+ bps increase1%1¢$657

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the March 2027 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its March 2027 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for March 18, 2027, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its March 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Swiss National Bank Decision in March??
Current odds: No Change 49%, 25 bps increase 37%, 50+ bps decrease 5%, 25 bps decrease 2%, 50+ bps increase 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Swiss National Bank Decision in March?
No Change is the market favorite at 49%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $19K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Swiss National Bank Decision in March??
$19K has been traded on this market in total, including $3K in the last 24 hours, with $12K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Swiss National Bank Decision in March? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on March 18, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Swiss National Bank Decision in March? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the March 2027 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its March 2027 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for March 18, 2027, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its March 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specifie
Where can I bet on Swiss National Bank Decision in March?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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