SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

October 31 leads at 97% across 9 outcomes, with $494K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
October 3197%97¢$872
Super Heavy booster explodes?83%83¢$33K
September 3082%82¢$25K
Successful splash down?80%80¢$3K
September 2654%54¢$2K
September 1928%28¢$4K
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?7%$14K
Chopsticks catch Starship?4%$301K
September 151%$42K

Market details

Resolution rules

This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14?
Current odds: October 31 97%, Super Heavy booster explodes? 83%, September 30 82%, Successful splash down? 80%, September 26 54%, September 19 28%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14?
October 31 is the market favorite at 97%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $494K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14?
$494K has been traded on this market in total, including $11K in the last 24 hours, with $50K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 resolve?
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.
Where can I bet on SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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