Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September

90 to 101 km/h leads at 50% across 3 outcomes, with $104 traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
90 to 101 km/h50%50¢$20
102 km/h or above49%49¢$21
89 km/h or below44%44¢$63

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the wind-gust range that contains the maximum wind gust, in km/h, recorded in any routine (METAR) or special (SPECI) observation from Wellington Airport (ICAO: NZWN) between September 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Wellington, New Zealand is widely recognized as the world's windiest city, and its airport regularly records powerful gusts that make headlines and viral landing videos worldwide. The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range. The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value. If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September?
Current odds: 90 to 101 km/h 50%, 102 km/h or above 49%, 89 km/h or below 44%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September?
90 to 101 km/h is the market favorite at 50%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $104 through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September?
$104 has been traded on this market in total, including $23 in the last 24 hours, with $86 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September resolve?
This market will resolve to the wind-gust range that contains the maximum wind gust, in km/h, recorded in any routine (METAR) or special (SPECI) observation from Wellington Airport (ICAO: NZWN) between September 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Wellington, New Zealand is widely recognized as the world's windiest city, and its airport regularly records powerful gusts that make headlines and viral landing videos worldwide. The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN
Where can I bet on Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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