Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner

Wild Horse Nine leads at 63% across 17 outcomes, with $44K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Wild Horse Nine63%63¢$31K
The Debut21%21¢$3K
Obsession11%11¢$993
Fjord5%5¢$3K
Digger5%5¢$3K
Club Kid5%5¢$571
Elsinore5%5¢$878
The Drama4%4¢$59
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma3%3¢$102
Josephine3%3¢$59
The Invite3%3¢$124
The Odyssey2%2¢$81
Fatherland1%1¢$102
Forgotten Island1%1¢$142
La Bola Negra1%1¢$165

2 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner?
Current odds: Wild Horse Nine 63%, The Debut 21%, Obsession 11%, Fjord 5%, Digger 5%, Club Kid 5%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner?
Wild Horse Nine is the market favorite at 63%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $44K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner?
$44K has been traded on this market in total, including $100 in the last 24 hours, with $19K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner resolve?
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film
Where can I bet on Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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