Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Winner

Agapito leads at 21% across 10 outcomes, with $21K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Agapito21%21¢$5K
Spilled Milk12%12¢$6K
Magan's Fare8%8¢$585
Mary is Missing7%7¢$351
Meeting Your Maker6%6¢$333
32B5%5¢$330
The Birthday Gift5%5¢$937
The Man That I Wave At4%4¢$2K
Nightfaces3%3¢$6K
Pale Sun2%2¢$380

Market details

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Winner?
Current odds: Agapito 21%, Spilled Milk 12%, Magan's Fare 8%, Mary is Missing 7%, Meeting Your Maker 6%, 32B 5%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Winner?
Agapito is the market favorite at 21%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $21K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Winner?
$21K has been traded on this market in total, including $515 in the last 24 hours, with $12K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on March 14, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Winner resolve?
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated
Where can I bet on Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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