December 31, 2026 leads at 19% across 4 outcomes, with $2.7M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for OpenAI IPO by...??
Current odds: December 31, 2026 19%, September 30, 2026 3%, August 31, 2026 1%, July 31, 2026 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026 is the market favorite at 19%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $2.7M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on OpenAI IPO by...??
$2.7M has been traded on this market in total, including $6K in the last 24 hours, with $155K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does OpenAI IPO by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does OpenAI IPO by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Where can I bet on OpenAI IPO by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.