As of today the market prices OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027 at 11% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027??
The market currently prices this at 11% (11¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? is the market favorite at 11%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $91K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027??
$91K has been traded on this market in total, including $12 in the last 24 hours, with $6K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Where can I bet on OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.