0.7% to 0.8% leads at 40% across 5 outcomes, with $33K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending October 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending October 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for October 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in November 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for October 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in October 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for October Inflation China - Annual?
Current odds: 0.7% to 0.8% 40%, 0.9% to 1.0% 28%, ≤0.6% 24%, 1.1% to 1.2% 6%, 1.3%+ 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in October Inflation China - Annual?
0.7% to 0.8% is the market favorite at 40%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $33K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on October Inflation China - Annual?
$33K has been traded on this market in total, including $2K in the last 24 hours, with $7K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does October Inflation China - Annual resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 9, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does October Inflation China - Annual resolve?
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending October 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending October 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for October 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in November 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned
Where can I bet on October Inflation China - Annual?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.