Microsoft (MSFT) closes above … on September 3?

As of today the market prices Microsoft (MSFT) closes above … on September 3 at 50% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

Microsoft (MSFT) closes above … on September 3? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
$51050%50¢$21

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 3, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Microsoft (MSFT) closes above … on September 3??
The market currently prices this at 50% (50¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Microsoft (MSFT) closes above … on September 3?
$510 is the market favorite at 50%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $676 through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Microsoft (MSFT) closes above … on September 3??
$676 has been traded on this market in total, with $0 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Microsoft (MSFT) closes above … on September 3? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 3, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Microsoft (MSFT) closes above … on September 3? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 3, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close
Where can I bet on Microsoft (MSFT) closes above … on September 3?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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