Dylan Cease leads at 6% across 35 outcomes, with $1.8M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for MLB: ERA Leader?
Current odds: Dylan Cease 6%, Eduardo Rodriguez 5%, Tarik Skubal 3%, Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3%, Cristopher Sánchez 3%, Garrett Crochet 3%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in MLB: ERA Leader?
Dylan Cease is the market favorite at 6%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1.8M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on MLB: ERA Leader?
$1.8M has been traded on this market in total, including $7K in the last 24 hours, with $36K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does MLB: ERA Leader resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 28, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does MLB: ERA Leader resolve?
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026
Where can I bet on MLB: ERA Leader?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.