India Annual Inflation 2026

4.50%+ leads at 91% across 7 outcomes, with $84K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

India Annual Inflation 2026 odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
4.50%+91%91¢$20K
3.75% to 4.49%5%$30K
<0.75%1%$2K
3.00% to 3.74%1%$2K
0.75% to 1.49%0%$2K
1.50% to 2.24%0%$2K
2.25% to 2.99%0%$25K

Market details

Resolution rules

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for India Annual Inflation 2026?
Current odds: 4.50%+ 91%, 3.75% to 4.49% 5%, <0.75% 1%, 3.00% to 3.74% 1%, 0.75% to 1.49% 0%, 1.50% to 2.24% 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in India Annual Inflation 2026?
4.50%+ is the market favorite at 91%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $84K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on India Annual Inflation 2026?
$84K has been traded on this market in total, with $9K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does India Annual Inflation 2026 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 12, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does India Annual Inflation 2026 resolve?
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take
Where can I bet on India Annual Inflation 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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