140-159 leads at 82% across 5 outcomes, with $346K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for How many SpaceX launches in 2026??
Current odds: 140-159 82%, 120-139 13%, 180-199 5%, 200 or more 3%, 160-179 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-159 is the market favorite at 82%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $346K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on How many SpaceX launches in 2026??
$346K has been traded on this market in total, including $156 in the last 24 hours, with $8K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does How many SpaceX launches in 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does How many SpaceX launches in 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Where can I bet on How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.