Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

As of today the market prices Fed emergency rate cut before 2027 at 7% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?7%$122K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Fed emergency rate cut before 2027??
The market currently prices this at 7% (7¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? is the market favorite at 7%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $122K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Fed emergency rate cut before 2027??
$122K has been traded on this market in total, including $25 in the last 24 hours, with $14K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergenc
Where can I bet on Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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