As of today the market prices Dota 2 patch 7.42 released by... at 80% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases Dota 2 gameplay patch 7.42 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "patch 7.42" refers to a gameplay update officially titled "7.42" by Valve. If Valve gives the next numbered gameplay update after the 7.41 series a different number (e.g., "7.50" or "8.00"), that update will also qualify. Lettered updates to the 7.41 series (e.g., "7.41g"), hotfixes, cosmetic or event updates, and updates without a new patch number will not qualify.
The patch will be considered released when it is live in the public Dota 2 client and available to all players. An announcement, teaser, patch-notes preview, or content available only in a test, beta, or experimental client will not qualify on its own.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve, including the Dota 2 patch notes page (https://www.dota2.com/patches); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Dota 2 patch 7.42 released by...??
The market currently prices this at 80% (80¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Dota 2 patch 7.42 released by...?
December 31 is the market favorite at 80%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $3K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Dota 2 patch 7.42 released by...??
$3K has been traded on this market in total, with $402 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Dota 2 patch 7.42 released by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Dota 2 patch 7.42 released by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases Dota 2 gameplay patch 7.42 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "patch 7.42" refers to a gameplay update officially titled "7.42" by Valve. If Valve gives the next numbered gameplay update after the 7.41 series a different number (e.g., "7.50" or "8.00"), that update will also qualify. Lettered updates to the 7.41 series (e.g., "7.41g"), hotfixes, cosmetic or event updates, and updates without a new patch number will not qualify.
The patch will be considered released when it is live in the public Dota 2 client and available to all players. An announcement, teaser
Where can I bet on Dota 2 patch 7.42 released by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.