Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?

10,000+ leads at 85% across 3 outcomes, with $2 traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
10,000+85%85¢
15,000+35%35¢
20,000+26%26¢$2

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31??
Current odds: 10,000+ 85%, 15,000+ 35%, 20,000+ 26%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
10,000+ is the market favorite at 85%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $2 through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31??
$2 has been traded on this market in total, including $2 in the last 24 hours, with $344 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquir
Where can I bet on Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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