Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

As of today the market prices Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET at 96% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET96%96¢$13K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET?
The market currently prices this at 96% (96¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET?
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET is the market favorite at 96%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $13K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET?
$13K has been traded on this market in total, including $13K in the last 24 hours, with $7K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET resolve?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Where can I bet on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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