As of today the market prices Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET at 50% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET odds
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".
The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET?
The market currently prices this at 50% (50¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET?
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET is the market favorite at 50%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $2K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET?
$2K has been traded on this market in total, including $2K in the last 24 hours, with $9K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 28, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET resolve?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".
The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Where can I bet on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.