Ballon d'Or Winner 2027

Lamine Yamal leads at 25% across 28 outcomes, with $28K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Ballon d'Or Winner 2027 odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Lamine Yamal25%25¢$3K
Kylian Mbappé22%22¢$3K
Raphinha13%13¢$2K
Michael Olise10%10¢$2K
Desire Doue9%9¢$3K
Erling Haaland6%6¢$705
Harry Kane5%5¢$1K
Jude Bellingham4%4¢$1K
Ousmane Dembélé3%3¢$469
Vitinha3%3¢$976
Declan Rice3%3¢$620
Rayan Cherki3%3¢$3K
Rodri2%2¢$469
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia2%2¢$702
Fabian Ruiz2%2¢$417

13 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Ballon d'Or award for the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by France Football and UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Ballon d'Or Winner 2027?
Current odds: Lamine Yamal 25%, Kylian Mbappé 22%, Raphinha 13%, Michael Olise 10%, Desire Doue 9%, Erling Haaland 6%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Ballon d'Or Winner 2027?
Lamine Yamal is the market favorite at 25%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $28K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Ballon d'Or Winner 2027?
$28K has been traded on this market in total, including $3K in the last 24 hours, with $970K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Ballon d'Or Winner 2027 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Ballon d'Or Winner 2027 resolve?
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Ballon d'Or award for the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by France Football and UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Where can I bet on Ballon d'Or Winner 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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